The Outlook for Interest Rates For the week of February 15, 2016  

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Life isn’t about getting and having, it’s about giving and being. –Kevin Kruse

 

The Outlook for Interest Rates

 

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen cautioned last week that global economic pressures pose risks to the U.S. economy but said it’s too soon to know whether those risks are severe enough to alter the Fed’s interest-rate policies.
Yellen said the Fed will determine at its next meeting in March how much economic weakness and falling markets around the world have hamstrung U.S. growth. And for a second day, Yellen was asked about the possibility that the Fed would use negative interest rates as a way to give the economy more support.
She repeated that the Fed had studied the prospect of deploying negative rates in 2010 but had decided not to use them to try to boost the economy. But she said the Fed thought it should study the issue again. Other central banks, including in Europe and Japan, are
“In light of the experience of European countries and others that have gone to negative rates,” Yellen said, “we are taking a look at them again because we would want to be prepared in the event we needed” to nudge rates below zero to try to fuel borrowing and spending.
Yellen stressed that any Fed decision to employ negative rates in the United States was not imminent. She said that while the financial landscape has darkened since the Fed’s December rate increase, reversing course from gradually raising rates to cutting rates is “not what I consider the most likely scenario.”
The Fed chair acknowledged that the central bank has been surprised by how much energy prices have dropped and the U.S. dollar has risen in value since mid-2014.
“We have been surprised in part by those developments, and they have played a significant role in holding down inflation,” Yellen said.
The Fed has tied future rate increases to further evidence that it’s advancing its goal of having inflation rise at a rate of 2% annually. For nearly four years, the Fed has fallen well short of that target, in part because of sinking energy prices and a stronger dollar, which lowers the cost of imported goods.
Yellen’s testimony to the Senate Banking Committee followed an appearance before the House Financial Services Committee. On both days, Yellen cautioned that global pressures could depress the economy’s growth and slow the pace of Fed rate hikes.

Key Economic Reports Released This Week

RELEASE
DATE
ECONOMIC
INDICATORS
RELEASED
BY
CONSENSUS Wt. INFLUENCE ON
INTEREST RATES
Tue 02/16
8:30 am et
Empire State Mfg Survey
for February ’16
Federal Reserve Bank
of New York
-10.0 ** ?If strong demand
?If weak demand
Tue 02/16
10:00 am et
NAHB Housing Index
for February ’16
National Association
of Home Builders
61 ** Undetermined
Tue 02/16
1:00 pm et
Weekly Bill Auction Dept. of the Treasury N/A
offering
** ?If strong demand
?If weak demand
Wed 02/17
7:00 am et
MBA Mtg Apps Survey
for week ending 02/12
Mortgage Bankers Association of America N/A * Undetermined
Wed 02/17
8:30 am et
Producer Price Index (PPI)
for January ’16
Bur. of Labor Statistics
Department of Labor
-0.2%
core 0.1%
*** ?If above consensus
?If below consensus
Wed 02/17
8:30 am et
Housing Starts / Permits
for January ’16
Bureau of the Census
Dept. of Commerce
HS 1.175M
BP 1.224M
*** ?If above consensus
?If below consensus
Wed 02/17
8:30 am et
Industrial Prod / Capacity
for January ’16
Federal Reserve Board IP 0.2%
CU 76.6%
*** ?If above consensus
?If below consensus
Wed 02/17
2:00 pm et
FOMC Minutes
for 05/19 meeting
Federal Reserve Board
Open Market Committee
N/A **** Determines Policy
Thu 02/18
8:30 am et
Jobless Claims
for week ending 02/13
Bur. of Labor Statistics
Department of Labor
269k * ?If above consensus
?If below consensus
Thu 02/18
10:00 am et
Philadelphia Fed Survey
for February ’16
Federal Reserve Bank
of Philadelphia
-2.5% ** Undetermined
Thu 02/18
10:00 am et
Leading Econo Indicators
for January ’16
Bur. of Econ. Analysis
Dept. of Commerce
-0.2% *** ?If above consensus
?If below consensus
Fri 02/19
8:30 am et
Consumer Price Index
for January ‘ 16
Bur. of Labor Statistics
Department of Labor
-0.1%
core 0.1%
*** ?If above consensus
?If below consensus

 

* Low Importance ** Moderate Importance *** Important **** Very Important
 

 

 

 

FROM ME:

Phoenix Commercial Real Estate and Investment Real Estate: investors and Owner / Users need to really know the market today before making a move in Commercial Properties or Investment Properties in Phoenix / Tucson / Arizona, as the market has a lot of moving parts today. What is going on socio-economically, what is going on demographically, what is going on with location, with competing businesses, with public policy in general — all of these things affect the quality of selling or purchasing your Commercial Properties, Commercial Investment Properties and Commercial and large tracts of Residential Land in Phoenix / Tucson / Arizona.  Therefore, you need a broker, a CCIM (Certified Commercial Investment Member) who is a recognized expert in the commercial and investment real estate industry and who understands Commercial Properties and Investment Properties.

I am marketing my listings on Costar, Loop-net CCIM, Kasten Long Commercial Group.  I also sold  hundreds millions of dollars’ worth of  Investment Properties / Owner User Properties in Retail, Office Industrial, Multi-family and Land in Arizona and therefore I am working with  brokers, Investors and Developers. I am also a CCIM and through this origination ( www.ccim.com ) I have access to marketing not only in the United States, but also international.  Click here to find out what is a CCIM:  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CCIM

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I am actively looking to build relationships with Real Estate Investors and Owner  Users  for  Retail / Industrial / Office / Multifamily and Land  in  Phoenix  –  Scottsdale   –  Tucson   –  Arizona

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Click here to find Reasons to Consider me for Commercial Referrals

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Click here to View My Listings and Profile

http://www.loopnet.com/profile/14101172900/Walter-Unger-CCIM/Listings/

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Click here to view my website:

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Interactive Map Of All 10+ Unit Apartment Listings in Metro Phoenix

http://www.easymapmaker.com/map/28cb3b8b3206c377a6f282d980dc7974

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Click here:

3rd QTR 2015  GREATER PHOENIX APARTMENT OWNER’S NEWSLETTER  Kasten Long Commercial Grpup.

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Click her to join my mailing list :      

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Walter Unger CCIM –  walterunger@ccim.net   – 1-520-975-5207  –  http://walter-unger.com

2016 Official Arizona Visitors Guide

Visit Arizona

WHY PHOENIX ARIZONA : ???     

 check it out

http://walter-unger.com/?p=13391                     

 

1

Timeline of Phoenix, Arizona history

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_Phoenix,_Arizona_history

2

Phoenix, Arizona

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phoenix,_Arizona

 

3

Facts of Arizona – year 1848 to 2013

http://walter-unger.com/?p=9507

Feel free to contact Walter regarding any of these stories, the current market, distressed commercial real estate opportunities and needs, your property or your Investment Needs for Comercial Properties in Phoenix, Tucson, Arizona.

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walterunger@ccim.net 1-520-975-5207

Check out my professional profile and connect with me on LinkedIn.

http://lnkd.in/bezpJ8t

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Kasten Long Commercial Group tracks all advertised apartment communities, including those advertised by other brokerages.  The interactive map  shows the location of each community (10+ units) and each location is color coded by the size (number of total units). 

Click here for Map of Apartments for Sale (10+units)

  •  

 

Walter Unger CCIM, CCSS, CCLS

I am a successful Commercial / Investment Real Estate Broker in Arizona now for 20 years.  If you have any questions about Commercial / Investment Properties in Phoenix or Commercial /  Investment Properties in Arizona,  I will gladly sit down with you and share my expertise and my professional opinion with you. I am also in this to make money therefore it will be a win-win situation for all of us. 

  •  

Please reply by e-mail walterunger@ccim.net or call me on my cell 520-975-5207

 

www.Walter-Unger.com

 

Walter Unger CCIM

Senior Associate Broker 

Kasten Long Commercial Group

2821 E. Camelback Rd. Suite 600

Phoenix , AZ 85016

Direct:    520-975-5207   

Fax:       602-865-7461

walterunger@ccim.net

www.Walter-Unger.com    

www.KLCommercialGroup.com

View My Listings and Profile

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What is a CCIM?

Reasons to Consider me for Commercial Referrals

 

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Delivering the New Standard of Excellence in Commercial Real Estate 

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The information in this blog-newsletter is for general guidance only, and does not constitute the provision of legal advice, tax advice, accounting services, investment advice, or professional consulting of any kind. The information provided herein should not be used as a substitute for consultation with professional tax, accounting, legal, or other competent advisers. Before making any decision or taking any action, you should consult a professional adviser who has been provided with all pertinent facts relevant to your particular situation. Tax articles in this e-newsletter are not intended to be used, and cannot be used by any taxpayer, for the purpose of avoiding accuracy-related penalties that may be imposed on the taxpayer. The information is provided “as is,” with no assurance or guarantee of completeness, accuracy, or timeliness of the information, and without warranty of any kind, express or implied, including but not limited to warranties of performance, merchantability, and fitness for a particular purpose.

 

 

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