“You miss 100 percent of the shots you never take, and if you think it’s expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur “ . ARE YOU READY TO SELL OR PURCHASE YOUR LAND OR COMMERCIAL BUILDING IN PHOENIX, SCOTTSDALE, MARICOPA COUNTY AND PINAL COUNTY, ARIZONA, CLICK HERE AND PLEASE CALL ME. 520-975-5207 or email me walterunger@ccim.net. VIEW ALL OF WALTERS LISTINGS.
JAN 10, 2018. Sean Hanlon , Contributor
As we ring out the old year and welcome the incoming year it is natural for us to reflect, evaluate and establish considerations to be mindful of for 2018. Some may be expected, others might be a bit of a surprise. Here is my list of seven things I will be watching in the coming year of 2018, and how they may impact your portfolio.
- Washington and elections– What is next after the tax reform? While it may be complicated, there certainly seems to be common ground between the Republicans and Democrats on infrastructure legislation. It could be a real boon to the economy and your portfolio if they can pass something. Also to consider is immigration policy, Supreme Court member changes, Trump Cabinet changes, debt ceiling and much more. The Republicans hold the Presidency and both houses of Congress, but that could change in the upcoming mid-term elections. This creates a sense of urgency for infrastructure legislation and could alter the agenda for the President going forward. My prediction? An infrastructure bill gets passed, where Democrats get their fair share of pork.
- Inflation, rising interest rates, the Fed Reserve– Will the Fed bring on a recession? Some have been worried about an increase in inflation and thus the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) pushing rates higher. If the Fed pushes rates higher too aggressively the worry is a resulting U.S. recession. While jobs and wages have been growing, odds seem to favor a continued slow and steady growth pattern, inflation free, thus muting pressure on too many rate increases. My prediction? No recession in the U.S. for the next 18 months, and maybe longer. Forecasts are for three quarter point rate increases in 2018. I believe a more likely outcome is two rate increases this year, yet a more aggressive liquidation of the Fed’s $4 trillion balance sheet.
- Stock Market– Is it overpriced? Sure, a little, but maybe not too much. Why? Tax Reform lowers the corporate tax rate to 21%, corporate earnings should grow substantially in year-over-year (YOY) in 2018 (maybe 17%!). A discounted cash flow calculation using the 2.9% current interest rate of a 30-year U.S. Treasury bond suggests that current stock market valuations are reasonable. We are way overdue for a correction, but it will not be earnings that causes it. Look for corporations to announce major buybacks with their new-found riches from repatriating overseas earnings at the lowered “tax holiday” rate, another boost to earnings.
- Bitcoin and Blockchain– Is it a fad? While cryptocurrencies and blockchain seem like a fleeting fad to many, they aren’t going away. With the likes of Goldman Sachs setting up a cryptocurrency trading desk, and financial firms exploring ways to utilize blockchain technology to modernize outdated methods for trade clearing & settlement processes, they are here to stay.
- Amazon, Facebook and Google– Can they get too powerful? Perhaps, as these technology companies grow larger and more influential, regulatory authorities in the U.S. and Europe will become concerned enough, with prodding from traditional retailers and media companies, to look at potentially anti-competitive practices at these internet giants.
- Cyber-attacks– Should we be worried? In a word, yes. Cyber-attacks are becoming more prevalent and could affect consumer confidence, so a cautious eye is warranted. Violation of money center banks affecting deposits and or withdrawals, hacking of customer information and other corporate security breaches probably will occur.
- China– Will there be more tension between U.S., North Korea and China? Possibly, with North Korea’s nuclear ambitions, and the U.S.’s desire to reign the hermit kingdom in, there may be more fireworks in 2018. The U.S. and Europe are China’s best customers and largest debtors so it wouldn’t be in China’s best interests to play hardball with the U.S. North Korea is the size of Pennsylvania; but yes they do have nuclear capability.
These are just a few of the things that I will be keeping my eye on in 2018. I am looking at 2018 optimistically and believe it will be a good investing year.
Sean Hanlon is Chairman, CEO, and Chief Investment Officer of Hanlon Investment Management, an SEC registered investment adviser. For a copy of the full disclosure, please visit www.hanlon.com.
SEE IT ALL: https://www.forbes.com/sites/advisor/2018/01/10/seven-investment-considerations-for-2018/#7bbe8a501cd9
ARE YOU READY TO SELL OR PURCHASE YOUR LAND OR COMMERCIAL BUILDING IN PHOENIX, SCOTTSDALE, MARICOPA COUNTY AND PINAL COUNTY, ARIZONA, CLICK HERE AND PLEASE CALL ME. 520-975-5207 or email me walterunger@ccim.net
Timeline of Arizona from 900 BC – 2017
WHY PHOENIX? AMAZING!!! POPULATION IN 1950 – 350 K PEOPLE; “NOW 5 MIL”. – “5TH. BIGGEST CITY IN USA”
FROM ME:
Phoenix Commercial Real Estate and Investment Real Estate: Investors and Owner / Users need to really know the market today before making a move in owner user Commercial Properties, Investment Properties and land in Phoenix / Maricopa County, Pinal County / Arizona, as the market has a lot of moving parts today. What is going on socio-economically, what is going on demographically, what is going on with location, with competing businesses, with public policy in general — all of these things affect the quality of selling or purchasing your Commercial Properties, Commercial Investment Properties and Commercial and large tracts of Residential Land Therefore, you need a broker, a CCIM (Certified Commercial Investment Member) who is a recognized expert in the commercial and investment real estate industry and who understands Commercial Properties and Investment Properties. I am marketing my listings on Costar, Loop-net CCIM, Kasten Long Commercial Group. I also sold hundreds millions of dollars’ worth of Investment Properties / Owner User Properties in Retail, Office Industrial, Multi-family and Land in Arizona and therefore I am working with brokers, Investors and Developers. I am also a CCIM and through this origination ( www.ccim.com ) I have access to marketing not only in the United States, but also internationalClick here to find out what is a CCIM: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CCIM
PLEASE CALL ME 520-975-5207 OR E-MAIL ME walterunger@ccim.net
ARE YOU READY TO SELL OR PURCHASE YOUR LAND OR COMMERCIAL BUILDING IN PHOENIX, SCOTTSDALE, MARICOPA COUNTY AND PINAL COUNTY, ARIZONA, CLICK HERE AND PLEASE CALL ME. 520-975-5207 or email me walterunger@ccim.net
WEEKLY APARTMENT CLOSING UPDATE THROUGH January 5, 2018 / Phoenix Arizona Metro.
WEEKLY APARTMENT CLOSING UPDATE THROUGH December 29, 2017 / Phoenix Arizona Metro.cc
WEEKLY APARTMENT CLOSING UPDATE THROUGH December 22, 2017 / Phoenix Arizona Metro.cc
WEEKLY APARTMENT CLOSING UPDATE THROUGH December 22, 2017 / Phoenix Arizona Metro.
WEEKLY APARTMENT CLOSING UPDATE THROUGH December 15, 2017 / Phoenix Arizona Metro.
WEEKLY APARTMENT CLOSING UPDATE THROUGH December 8, 2017 / Phoenix Arizona Metro.
WEEKLY APARTMENT CLOSING UPDATE THROUGH December 1, 2017 / Phoenix Arizona Metro.
8 Reasons You Should Invest in Land
Timeline of Arizona from 900 BC – 2017
WHY PHOENIX? AMAZING!!! POPULATION IN 1950 – 350 K PEOPLE; “NOW 5 MIL”. – “5TH. BIGGEST CITY IN USA”
DOT – LOOP 202 / SOUTH MOUNTAIN FREEWAY / PHOENIX AZ – UNDER CONSTRUCTION
ARIZONA FACTS – YEAR 1848 TO 2013
- DEMOGRAPHIC FACTS ABOUT MARICOPA COUNTY:
- The average age of the population is 34 years old.
- The health cost index score in this area is 102.1. (100 = national average)
- Here are some of the distributions of commute times for the area: <15 min (22.7%), 15-29 min (36.8%), 30-44 min (25.1%), 45-59 min (8.6%), >60 min (6.8%).
PHOENIX PROJECTED AS NUMBER ONE US HOUSING MARKET FOR 2017
LIST OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS IN PINAL COUNTY, REVISED 2-14-17
Reasons to Consider me for Commercial Referrals – I have the Knowledge and Experience
Click here to View My Listings and Profile
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Walter Unger CCIM – walterunger@ccim.net – 1-520-975-5207 – http://walter-unger.com
2016 Official Arizona Visitors Guide
Timeline of Phoenix, Arizona history
Facts of Arizona – year 1848 to 2013
Feel free to contact Walter regarding any of these stories, the current market, distressed commercial real estate opportunities and needs, your property or your Investment Needs for Comercial Properties in Phoenix, Tucson, Arizona.
1-520-975-5207
Check out my professional profile and connect with me on LinkedIn.
Kasten Long Commercial Group tracks all advertised apartment communities, including those advertised by other brokerages. The interactive map shows the location of each community (10+ units) and each location is color coded by the size (number of total units).
Walter Unger CCIM, CCSS, CCLS
I am a successful Commercial / Investment Real Estate Broker in Arizona now for 20 years. If you have any questions about Commercial / Investment Properties in Phoenix or Commercial / Investment Properties in Arizona, I will gladly sit down with you and share my expertise and my professional opinion with you. I am also in this to make money therefore it will be a win-win situation for all of us.
Please reply by e-mail walterunger@ccim.net or call me on my cell 520-975-5207
Walter Unger CCIM
Senior Associate Broker
Kasten Long Commercial Group
5110 N 40th Street, Suite 110
Phoenix , AZ 85018
Direct: 520-975-5207
Fax: 602-865-7461
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