DEJA VU: ARE WE BACK IN A 1930S ECONOMY?

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“Always bear in mind that your own resolution to succeed is more important than any one thing.”
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NationalEconomy Jun 17, 2016 Martin Drake, Bisnow

Today’s economy is looking a lot like the 1930s. Companies are unwilling to spend, inflation expectations keep falling, growth is constrained—and the trigger for the current economic stumbling was the 2008 crisis, which left a haze of debt and deleveraging, just as regulations tighten on the banking sectors, Bloomberg reports.  A similar economic storm preceded the 1930s slump, according to a team of Morgan Stanley analysts led by economist Chetan Ahya. “The critical similarity between the 1930s and the 2008 cycle is that the financial shock and the relatively high levels of indebtedness changed the risk attitudes of the private sector and triggered them to repair their balance sheets,” wrote Chetan and his team.

Chetan isn’t the first to draw a similarity between now and the Great Depression era. $82B fund manager Ray Dalio wrote in a January op-ed for the Financial Times that the global economic slump and deflation come from reaching the end of a long-term debt super-cycle—something that normally lasts 50 to 75 years. Dalio says investors can’t be convinced to take on debt for risky assets while returns sit at historically low levels. This lack of incentive for risk-taking throws a wrench in central banks’ plans to spike prices for these assets through low interest rates and quantitative easing.  Under Dalio’s view, central banks won’t have any tools to halt the next financial crisis or recession. [Bloomberg]

Read more at: https://www.bisnow.com/national/news/economy/economic-sluggishness-looks-similar-to-the-1930s-61539?utm_source=CopyShare&utm_medium=Browser&utm_source=GPE+Main+List&utm_campaign=6f963fc613-Avison_Young_Connect_Arizona_06_23_20166_23_2016&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_4072258f3b-6f963fc613-226192041?utm_source=CopyShare&utm_medium=Browser

 

 

 

FROM ME:

Are you ready to sell your Commercial Building in Phoenix  –  Maricopa County , please call me.

http://walter-unger.com/are-you-ready-to-sell-your-commercial-building-in-phoenix-maricopa-county-please-call-me/

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ARE YOU READY TO SELL OR PURCHASE – I am actively looking to build relationships with Real Estate Investors and Owner Users  for  multi-family, office, retail, industrial and land in Phoenix- Scottsdale-Tucson-Arizona.

http://walter-unger.com/i-am-actively-looking-to-build-relationships-with-real-estate-investors-and-owner-users-for-retail-industrial-office-multifamily-and-land-in-phoenix-2/

 

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Why Phoenix?  This is a very interesting article, you should read it, amazing, there were only 350 K people living in Phoenix in 1950

http://walter-unger.com/why-phoenix-2/

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Phoenix Commercial Real Estate and Investment Real Estate: investors and Owner / Users need to really know the market today before making a move in Commercial Properties or Investment Properties in Phoenix / Tucson / Arizona, as the market has a lot of moving parts today. What is going on socio-economically, what is going on demographically, what is going on with location, with competing businesses, with public policy in general — all of these things affect the quality of selling or purchasing your Commercial Properties, Commercial Investment Properties and Commercial and large tracts of Residential Land in Phoenix / Tucson / Arizona.  Therefore, you need a broker, a CCIM (Certified Commercial Investment Member) who is a recognized expert in the commercial and investment real estate industry and who understands Commercial Properties and Investment Properties.

I am marketing my listings on Costar, Loop-net CCIM, Kasten Long Commercial Group.  I also sold  hundreds millions of dollars’ worth of  Investment Properties / Owner User Properties in Retail, Office Industrial, Multi-family and Land in Arizona and therefore I am working with  brokers, Investors and Developers. I am also a CCIM and through this origination ( www.ccim.com ) I have access to marketing not only in the United States, but also international.  Click here to find out what is a CCIM:  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CCIM

 

 

Are you ready to sell your Commercial Building in Phoenix  –  Maricopa County , please call me.

http://walter-unger.com/are-you-ready-to-sell-your-commercial-building-in-phoenix-maricopa-county-please-call-me/

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Reasons to Consider me for Commercial Referrals – I have the Knowledge and Experience  

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Click here to View My Listings and Profile

http://www.loopnet.com/profile/14101172900/Walter-Unger-CCIM/Listings/

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Click here to find out what is a CCIM:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CCIM

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Click here to view my website:

http://walter-unger.com/

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Interactive Map Of All 10+ Unit Apartment Listings in Metro Phoenix

http://www.easymapmaker.com/map/28cb3b8b3206c377a6f282d980dc7974

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Interactive  Metro Phoenix Map of New Apartment Construction by Completion Status

http://www.easymapmaker.com/map/955edc17e00b08ce270fb7afb1523cc2

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Click here:

4rd QTR 2015  GREATER PHOENIX APARTMENT OWNER’S NEWSLETTER  Kasten Long Commercial Group.

http://klcommercialgroup.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/Q4-2015-Metro-Phoenix-Apartment-Owners-Newsletter.pdf

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Apartment  Vacancy Rates – Greater Phoenix Area – 50+ Units (Stabilized) 2013, 2014, & 2015

http://klcommercialgroup.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/Vacancy-Rpt-Q4-2015.pdf

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Click her to join my mailing list :      

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AZREIA Market Update | March 2016

https://azreia.memberize.net/clubportal/images/clubimages/2645/Market%20Update%20Files/2016/AZREIA%20201603%20Meeting.pdf

 

 

Walter Unger CCIM –  walterunger@ccim.net   – 1-520-975-5207  –  http://walter-unger.com

2016 Official Arizona Visitors Guide

Visit Arizona

Why Phoenix?  This is a very interesting article, you should read it, amazing, there were only 350 K people living in Phoenix in 1950

http://walter-unger.com/why-phoenix-2/

 

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Timeline of Phoenix, Arizona history

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_Phoenix,_Arizona_history

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Phoenix, Arizona

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phoenix,_Arizona

 

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Facts of Arizona – year 1848 to 2013

http://walter-unger.com/?p=9507

Feel free to contact Walter regarding any of these stories, the current market, distressed commercial real estate opportunities and needs, your property or your Investment Needs for Comercial Properties in Phoenix, Tucson, Arizona.

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walterunger@ccim.net 1-520-975-5207

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  1. Interactive Map Of All 10+ Unit Apartment Listings in Metro Phoenix

http://www.easymapmaker.com/map/28cb3b8b3206c377a6f282d980dc7974

 

  1. Interactive  Metro Phoenix Map of New Apartment Construction by Completion Status

http://www.easymapmaker.com/map/955edc17e00b08ce270fb7afb1523cc2

 

 

Kasten Long Commercial Group tracks all advertised apartment communities, including those advertised by other brokerages.  The interactive map  shows the location of each community (10+ units) and each location is color coded by the size (number of total units). 

Click here for Map of Apartments for Sale (10+units)

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Walter Unger CCIM, CCSS, CCLS

I am a successful Commercial / Investment Real Estate Broker in Arizona now for 20 years.  If you have any questions about Commercial / Investment Properties in Phoenix or Commercial /  Investment Properties in Arizona,  I will gladly sit down with you and share my expertise and my professional opinion with you. I am also in this to make money therefore it will be a win-win situation for all of us. 

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Please reply by e-mail walterunger@ccim.net or call me on my cell 520-975-5207

 

www.Walter-Unger.com

 

Walter Unger CCIM

Senior Associate Broker 

Kasten Long Commercial Group

2821 E. Camelback Rd. Suite 600

Phoenix , AZ 85016

Direct:    520-975-5207   

Fax:       602-865-7461

walterunger@ccim.net

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www.KLCommercialGroup.com

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