Defining The Decade In Commercial Real Estate: Part 1

 

 

“You miss 100 percent of the shots you never take, and if you think it’s expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur “    I AM YOUR LAND / INDUSTRIAL AND INVESTMENT SPECIALIST / LOOKING FOR OWNERS  Call me if you want to sell your property and  need an estimated value.  Direct : 602-759-1209, Prefer cell: 520-975-5207 or email me walterunger@ccim.net.    A  CLICK HERE TO VIEW ALL MY $ 60 MIL OF LISTINGS .  

December 11, 2019 Dees Stribling, Bisnow National

For commercial real estate, a decade is an eon, and that is plenty of time for change in the industry. But with their beginnings in the Great Recession and their consistent, slow growth trajectory, the 2010s have brought some fundamental, lasting changes to commercial real estate. Some sectors have felt it more than others. The multifamily sector has evolved from an also-ran to single-family housing in the minds of Americans to the darling property type of the decade — in demand, but also a market bifurcated like never before into Class-A and everything else. At the beginning of the 2010s, industrial real estate was an ugly duckling. At the end of the decade, last-mile logistics became the booming handmaiden of the nation’s vast online retail market, which has done nothing but expand since the end of the recession, punching a hole in retail real estate in the process.

Undergirding CRE changes during the decade has been the growth in the U.S. economy, which has been the longest period of growth in history, beginning in June 2009 and not over even at the end of 2019. Yet it hasn’t been the most robust recovery in history. Since 2009, the U.S. gross domestic product has grown 25%. That is relatively modest compared to other post-recession periods, such as the GDP growth that began in 1991, which ultimately totaled 42.6%, or the growth after 1982, which totaled 38.1%. “All real estate sectors have benefited from the growth this decade,” CBRE Global Chief Economist Richard Barkham said. “Because growth has been slow, development has been relatively restrained compared to previous cycles. “Rip-roaring growth accelerates animal spirits within the real estate development sector, so normally at this stage, we’d have too much inventory all around,” Barkham said. “We don’t see that. Growth has been at trend or below over that last 10 years, so level of supply is broadly in line with the level of demand.” The Shift To Renting  The main exception to the pattern of relatively modest growth has been in the multifamily sector. Multifamily represented only about 9% of the total number of residential units delivered before the recession, according to Marcus & Millichap National Director-National Multi Housing Group John Sebree. Currently, multifamily is closer to 27% of the total, he said. A spike in demand has driven that growth. “In the early part of the decade, households were growing and caught up with multifamily supply,” Sebree said. “Then household growth exceeded new supply coming online.”  Despite increased construction, the supply of apartments hasn’t kept up with demand, and occupancies are staying high. The national occupancy rate stood at 95.8% as of the second quarter of 2019, according to RealPage data, up from 95.4% in Q2 2018, and the highest occupancy since 2001. Apartment rents have swelled alongside occupancy — famously (or infamously) so in some markets, but up vigorously in most places. Using 1960 as a base, median U.S. apartment rents were up 53.8% by 2010, adjusted for inflation, according to the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies. Only six years later, rents were up 61.2% compared with 1960, and they have continued to rise since then. The Great Recession drove many into rental housing, but multifamily specialists say a more fundamental change during the 2010s has reshaped the sector. “Renting has become mainstream during this decade,” Draper and Kramer President and CEO Todd Bancroft said. “There’s less of a stigma. Feeling at home is now possible in an apartment. Before the recession, that [was] less true. Apartments were where you lived before buying a home. The push for homeownership was more important then.” Draper and Kramer owns about 9,500 apartments, mostly in the Midwest but also in Texas, and is looking to expand its holdings in such growth markets as Phoenix and Denver. The impact of the recession not only kicked people out of the for-sale housing market, it called into question the premise of homeownership as a savings vehicle, even for many of those who could still afford a house, Bancroft said. “There are people who have made the decision that they don’t want to be owners,” Bancroft said. “The investment component of single-family houses has been challenged.”
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FROM ME:                                                                    

Phoenix Commercial Real Estate and Investment Real Estate: Investors and Owner / Users need to really know the market today before making a move in owner user Commercial Properties, Investment Properties and land in Phoenix / Maricopa County, Pinal County / Arizona, Properties and Investment Properties. I am marketing my listings on Costar, Loop-net CCIM, Kasten Long Commercial Group.  I also sold  hundreds millions of dollars’ worth of  Investment Properties / Owner User Properties in Retail, Office Industrial, Multi-family and Land in Arizona and therefore I am working with  brokers, Investors and Developers. I am also a CCIM and through this origination ( www.ccim.com ) I have access to marketing not only in the United States, but also international as the market has a lot of moving parts today. What is going on socio-economically, what is going on demographically, what is going on with location, with competing businesses, with public policy in general — all of these things affect the quality of selling or purchasing your Commercial Properties, Commercial Investment Properties and Commercial and large tracts of Residential Land  Therefore, you need a broker, a CCIM (Certified Commercial Investment Member) who is a recognized expert in the commercial and investment real estate industry and who understands Commercial en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CCIM    I AM YOUR LAND / INDUSTRIAL AND INVESTMENT SPECIALIST / LOOKING FOR OWNERS   CLICK HERE TO VIEW ALL MY $ 60 MIL OF LISTINGS     PLEASE CALL ME –  Direct : 602-759-1209 , cell: 520-975-5207 or email me walterunger@ccim.net

 

WEEKLY LAND SALES

“The major fortunes in America have been made in land.”   John D. Rockefeller

WEEKLY LAND CLOSING UPDATE THROUGH DECEMBER 6, 2019 / Phoenix Arizona Metro, Maricopa County, Pinal County.

WEEKLY LAND CLOSING UPDATE THROUGH NOVEMBER 22, 2019 / Phoenix Arizona Metro, Maricopa County, Pinal County.

WEEKLY LAND CLOSING UPDATE THROUGH NOVEMBER 15, 2019 / Phoenix Arizona Metro, Maricopa County, Pinal County.

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WEEKLY INDUSTRIAL CLOSING UPDATE THROUGH DECEMBER 6, 2019 / Phoenix Arizona Metro, Maricopa County, Pinal County.

WEEKLY INDUSTRIAL CLOSING UPDATE THROUGH NOVEMBER 29, 2019 / Phoenix Arizona Metro, Maricopa County, Pinal County.

WEEKLY INDUSTRIAL CLOSING UPDATE THROUGH NOVEMBER 22, 2019 / Phoenix Arizona Metro, Maricopa County, Pinal County.

WEEKLY INDUSTRIAL CLOSING UPDATE THROUGH NOVEMBER 15, 2019 / Phoenix Arizona Metro, Maricopa County, Pinal County.

WEEKLY INDUSTRIAL CLOSING UPDATE THROUGH NOVEMBER 8, 2019 / Phoenix Arizona Metro, Maricopa County, Pinal County.

WEEKLY INDUSTRIAL CLOSING UPDATE THROUGH NOVEMBER 1, 2019 / Phoenix Arizona Metro, Maricopa County, Pinal County. c                                                                                                                                                         

 

I AM YOUR LAND / INDUSTRIAL AND INVESTMENT SPECIALIST / LOOKING FOR OWNERS   CLICK HERE TO VIEW ALL MY $ 60 MIL OF LISTINGS

CLICK HERE FOR APARTMENTS FOR SALE:

 

 

 

Walter Unger CCIM

Senior Associate Broker

Kasten Long Commercial Group

5110 N 40th Street, Suite 110

Phoenix , AZ 85018

CELL: 520-975-5207

Direct: 602-759-1209

Office: 602-445-4112

Fax:       602-865-7461

walterunger@ccim.net

CLICK HERE TO VIEW ALL MY LISTINGS

www.Walter-Unger.com

www.KLCommercialGroup.com

What is a CCIM.

 

 

 “You miss 100 percent of the shots you never take, and if you think it’s expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur “  ARE YOU READY TO SELL OR PURCHASE YOUR INDUSTRIAL / OFFICE OR RETAIL BUILDING OR YOUR  LAND  in Phoenix, Maricopa County and Pinal County, Arizona, please call me.  Office: 602-445-4113,  Direct : 602-759-1209 , cell: 520-975-5207 or email me walterunger@ccim.net.  … CLICK HERE TO VIEW ALL MY LISTINGS.

 Let me know if you are interested in Apartments: CLICK HERE FOR APARTMENTS FOR SALE     

CLICK HERE:  Arizona Opportunity Zones As We Understand /maps. Interested!!! Please contact me.

History of Arizona from  900 BC – 2017 -Timeline.

WHY PHOENIX? AMAZING!!!  POPULATION – IN 1950 THERE WERE 331,700 PEOPLE LIVING IN PHOENIX – “NOW 5 MIL”. – “5TH. BIGGEST CITY IN USA”

PHOENIX TOPS US IN POPULATION GROWTH (MORE THAN LA, NYC) AND WHY THAT’S GOOD FOR THE ECONOMY, BUSINESS

 

8 Reasons You Should Invest in Land

History of Arizona from  900 BC – 2017 -Timeline.

 

WHY PHOENIX? AMAZING!!!  POPULATION IN 1950 – 350 K PEOPLE; “NOW 5 MIL”. – “5TH. BIGGEST CITY IN USA”

PHOENIX TOPS US IN POPULATION GROWTH (MORE THAN LA, NYC) AND WHY THAT’S GOOD FOR THE ECONOMY, BUSINESS

DOT – LOOP 202 / SOUTH MOUNTAIN FREEWAY / PHOENIX AZ – UNDER CONSTRUCTION

ARIZONA FACTS – YEAR 1848 TO 2013

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What is a CCIM.

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  • DEMOGRAPHIC FACTS ABOUT MARICOPA COUNTY:
  • The average age of the population is 34 years old.
  • The health cost index score in this area is 102.1. (100 = national average)
  • Here are some of the distributions of commute times for the area: <15 min (22.7%), 15-29 min (36.8%), 30-44 min (25.1%), 45-59 min (8.6%), >60 min (6.8%).

PHOENIX PROJECTED AS NUMBER ONE US HOUSING MARKET FOR 2017

LIST OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS IN PINAL COUNTY, REVISED 2-14-17

Reasons to Consider me for Commercial Referrals – I have the Knowledge and Experience                                                                                                                         

Click here to View My Listings and Profile

Click here to find out what is a CCIM:

Click here to view my website:

Click her to join my mailing list :      

Walter Unger CCIM –  walterunger@ccim.net   – 1-520-975-5207  –  http://walter-unger.com

2016 Official Arizona Visitors Guide

Visit Arizona

Why Phoenix?  This is a very interesting article, you should read it, amazing, there were only 350 K people living in Phoenix in 1950

Timeline of Phoenix, Arizona history

Phoenix, Arizona

Facts of Arizona – year 1848 to 2013

Feel free to contact Walter regarding any of these stories, the current market, distressed commercial real estate opportunities and needs, your property or your Investment Needs for Comercial Properties in Phoenix, Tucson, Arizona.

Walter Unger CCIM

Senior Associate Broker

Kasten Long Commercial Group

5110 N 40th Street, Suite 110

Phoenix , AZ 85018

Direct: 602-759-1209

CELL: 520-975-5207

Office: 602-445-4112

Fax:       602-865-7461

walterunger@ccim.net

CLICK HERE TO VIEW ALL MY LISTINGS

www.Walter-Unger.com

www.KLCommercialGroup.com

What is a CCIM.

 

“You miss 100 percent of the shots you never take, and if you think it’s expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur “   

Please check maps if your Land or Commercial Property is in the Opportunity Zone, IF SO CONTACT ME / THIS IS FOR SELLER’S AND BUYER’S.

ARE YOU READY TO SELL OR PURCHASE YOUR INDUSTRIAL / OFFICE OR RETAIL BUILDING OR YOUR  LAND  in Phoenix, Maricopa County and Pinal County, Arizona, please call me.

Also Call me if you need an estimated value of your Property.

Call me if you want to see a map with what is in the Construction Pipeline for Apartments.

Direct : 602-759-1209,  Prefer cell: 520-975-5207,   or email me walterunger@ccim.net.       CLICK HERE TO VIEW ALL MY LISTINGS.    

 

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 Kasten Long Commercial Group tracks all advertised apartment communities, including those advertised by other brokerages.  The interactive map  shows the location of each community (10+ units) and each location is color coded by the size (number of total units). 

 Walter Unger CCIM, CCSS, CCLS

I am a successful Commercial / Investment Real Estate Broker in Arizona now for 20 years.  If you have any questions about Commercial / Investment Properties in Phoenix or Commercial /  Investment Properties in Arizona,  I will gladly sit down with you and share my expertise and my professional opinion with you. I am also in this to make money therefore it will be a win-win situation for all of us. 

Please reply by e-mail walterunger@ccim.net or call me on my cell 520-975-5207

www.Walter-Unger.com

 

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