The Supply and Demand Paradigm Continues To Shift in the Sun Belt

You miss 100 percent of the shots you never take, and if you think it’s expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur. FOR OVER 20 YEARS, I HAVE WORKED EXTENSIVELY WITH OWNERS AND BUYERS IN LAND, COMMERCIAL AND INVESTMENT REAL ESTATE IN PHOENIX, TUCSON AND THROUGHOUT ARIZONA. PLEASE LET ME KNOW HOW I CAN HELP YOU. Call me if you want to sell your property and need an estimated value.   Phone / Prefer cell: 520-975-5207
Office: 480-948-5554 or email me
walterunger@ccim.net.   –       What is a CCIM.  

In Business and in Life you don’t get what you deserve, you get what you Negotiate.

contact me if you want me to get you the value of your property.

CLICK HERE TO VIEW ALL MY LISTINGS.   

Are you ready to sell or purchase your Land or Commercial Building in Phoenix, Scottsdale, Maricopa County and Pinal County, Arizona, please call me?

Walter Unger CCIM – cell: 520-975-5207 –  walterunger@ccim.net

By CoStar Analytics March 10, 2023 | 2:11 P.M.

Nowhere in the United States has the impact of in-migration been felt more acutely over the past few years than in the U.S. Sun Belt. This area, stretching from Phoenix to Florida and up to Tennessee and the Carolinas, experienced a surge in population beginning in 2020 that is only now beginning to subside, declining by a mild 0.1% in the past year.

The resulting demand for housing has fueled an historic rate of new development activity, which in turn, fueled record rates of apartment rent growth across the region through early 2022.

But vacancy rates in the 14 multifamily markets across the Sun Belt with at least 100,000 units of existing inventory are up 240 basis points over the past year, with some high-growth markets including Atlanta, Phoenix, Tampa and San Antonio rising between 2.5% and 3%.

Vacancy is rising throughout the region as population growth is beginning to cool. This is partly attributable to the impact that rising rents have had on disposable incomes, with fewer Sun Belt markets offering relative affordability after more than a year of accelerating rent growth that outpaced income growth.

Rent growth across the Sun Belt has risen by nearly 20% in the past three years, with rents in Florida rising at the fastest pace. Consumer insecurity regarding recessionary concerns is also resulting in a slower pace of demand as fewer potential renters are willing to commit to lease obligations during a time when layoffs are becoming more common. Consequently, new household formation is down across the region.

Population growth drives the need for development, and it is beginning to slow in several key markets that were pandemic-era favorites a few years ago. The rate of population growth in these 14 Sun Belt markets is now down nearly 1% since the end of 2020, and collectively they are expected to grow at a more measured pace of roughly 1.1% through 2024. With that said, the region remains well ahead of the projected rate of population growth of 0.45% for the nation as a whole.

That’s quite a change for some markets that grew quickly in 2020, including Austin and Raleigh, which were up 2.8% and 2% respectively. Those same markets are expected to grow by 1.8% and 1.1% in 2023, with the rate of development activity surpassing anticipated population growth. Vacancy rates should rise in these markets by default, considering headwinds to occupancy from rising interest rates, inflation, asking rents that are still near record highs and recessionary pressures.

Of course, there are outliers, including Miami and Fort Lauderdale, which lost population in 2020 and have grown by 1.2% and 0.7% respectively as of March 2023. In Miami, nearly half of the total units underway are being built in the urban core, and all units under construction are in four- and five-star properties.

For now, new development continues at a record pace across the Sun Belt. Thirteen of these markets have more new units underway now than they did one year ago. Only the Tampa market has seen a slight decline in its active construction pipeline, which is down by roughly 700 units year over year.

FROM ME:  FOR OVER 20 YEARS, I HAVE WORKED EXTENSIVELY WITH OWNERS AND BUYERS IN LAND, COMMERCIAL AND INVESTMENT REAL ESTATE IN PHOENIX, TUCSON AND THROUGHOUT ARIZONA. Now is the time, if you are thinking of selling or purchasing your Land or Commercial Building in Phoenix, Scottsdale, Maricopa County, Pinal County, Arizona / Office  / Retail  / Industrial  / Multi-family /  please call me on my cell 520-975-5207 or e-mail me     walterunger@ccim.net. Investors and Owner / Users need to really know the market today before making a move. The market has a lot of moving parts. What is going on socio-economically, what is going on demographically, what is going on with location, with competing businesses, with public policy in general — all of these things affect the quality of selling or purchasing your Commercial Properties, Commercial Investment Properties and Commercial and large tracts of Residential Land  Therefore, you need a broker, a CCIM (Certified Commercial Investment Member) who is a recognized expert in the commercial and investment real estate industry and who understands your needs. I am marketing my listings on Costar, Loop-net,  CCIM,  CREXi, Catylist, and various other web sites.  I also sold  hundreds millions of dollars’ worth of  Investment Properties / Owner User Properties in Retail, Office Industrial, Multi-family and Land in Arizona and therefore I am working with  brokers, Investors and Developers. I am also a CCIM and through this origination ( www.ccim.com ) I have access to marketing not only in the United States, but also international

DISCOVER WHAT IS HAPPENING IN ARIZONA

History of Arizona from  900 BC – 2017 -Timeline.

   What is a CCIM.  In Business and in Life you don’t get what you deserve, you get what you Negotiate.

Are you ready to sell or purchase your Land or Commercial Building in Phoenix, Scottsdale, Maricopa County and Pinal County, Arizona, please call me?

contact me if you want the me to get you the value of your property.

Walter Unger CCIM – cell: 520-975-5207 – walterunger@ccim.net

Click here to find out what is a   CCIM:

 CLICK HERE TO VIEW ALL MY LISTINGS. 

Are you ready to sell or purchase your Land or Commercial Building in Phoenix, Scottsdale, Maricopa County and Pinal County, Arizona, please call me?

Walter Unger CCIM

Associate Broker

West USA Commercial Division

7077 E MARILYN RD.

Suite 200, Building 4.

Scottsdale AZ, 85254

Phone: 480-948-5554

Cell: 520-975-5207

walterunger@ccim.net

History of Arizona from  900 BC – 2017 -Timeline.

WHY PHOENIX? AMAZING!!!  POPULATION – IN 1950 THERE WERE 331,700 PEOPLE LIVING IN PHOENIX – “NOW 5 MIL”. – “5TH. BIGGEST CITY IN USA”

PHOENIX TOPS US IN POPULATION GROWTH (MORE THAN LA, NYC) AND WHY THAT’S GOOD FOR THE ECONOMY, BUSINESS

History of Arizona from  900 BC – 2017 -Timeline.

WHY PHOENIX? AMAZING!!!  POPULATION IN 1950 – 350 K PEOPLE; “NOW 5 MIL”. – “5TH. BIGGEST CITY IN USA”

CLICK HERE TO VIEW MY WEBSITE

  • DEMOGRAPHIC FACTS ABOUT MARICOPA COUNTY:

Walter Unger CCIM –  walterunger@ccim.net   – 1-520-975-5207  –  http://walter-unger.com

Why Phoenix?  This is a very interesting article, you should read it, amazing, there were only 350 K people living in Phoenix in 1950

Timeline of Phoenix, Arizona history

Phoenix, Arizona

Facts of Arizona – year 1848 to 2013

CLICK HERE:  Arizona Opportunity Zones As We Understand /maps. Interested!!! Please contact me.

Are you ready to sell or purchase your Land or Commercial Building in Phoenix, Scottsdale, Maricopa County and Pinal County, Arizona, please call me?

Feel free to contact Walter regarding any of these stories, the current market, distressed commercial real estate opportunities and needs, your property or your Investment Needs for Comercial Properties in Phoenix, Tucson, Arizona.

Walter Unger CCIM

Associate Broker

West USA Commercial Division

7077 E MARILYN RD.

Suite 200, Building 4.

Scottsdale AZ, 85254

Phone: 480-948-5554

Cell: 520-975-5207

walterunger@ccim.net

What is a CCIM.

FOR OVER 20 YEARS, I HAVE WORKED EXTENSIVELY WITH OWNERS AND BUYERS IN LAND, COMMERCIAL AND INVESTMENT REAL ESTATE IN PHOENIX, TUCSON AND THROUGHOUT ARIZONA. PLEASE LET ME KNOW HOW I CAN HELP YOU PLEASE CALL ME

CLICK HERE TO VIEW ALL MY LISTINGS. 

Also Call me if you need an estimated value of your Property.

Call me if you want to see a map with what is in the Construction Pipeline for Apartments.

Prefer cell: 520-975-5207,   or email me walterunger@ccim.net.       CLICK HERE TO VIEW ALL MY LISTINGS.    

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  Walter Unger CCIM, CCSS, CCLS

I am a successful Commercial / Investment Real Estate Broker in Arizona now for 20 years.  If you have any questions about Commercial / Investment Properties in Phoenix or Commercial /  Investment Properties in Arizona,  I will gladly sit down with you and share my expertise and my professional opinion with you. I am also in this to make money therefore it will be a win-win situation for all of us. 

Please reply by e-mail walterunger@ccim.net or call me on my cell 520-975-5207

www.Walter-Unger.com

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