How Rising Interest Rates Are Impacting NNN Retail Properties.  Understanding the Enduring Appeal and Shifting Prices

You miss 100 percent of the shots you never take, and if you think it’s expensive to hire a professional to do the job, wait until you hire an amateur. FOR OVER 20 YEARS, I HAVE WORKED EXTENSIVELY WITH OWNERS AND BUYERS IN LAND, COMMERCIAL AND INVESTMENT REAL ESTATE IN PHOENIX, TUCSON AND THROUGHOUT ARIZONA. PLEASE LET ME KNOW HOW I CAN HELP YOU. Call me if you want to sell your property and need an estimated value.   Phone / Prefer cell: 520-975-5207
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DANIEL SCHMERGEL PUBLISHED ON APRIL 13, 2023

For many novice commercial real estate investors, triple-net (NNN) leased retail properties have long served as a point of entry into the asset class. Typically, NNN retail properties are standalone buildings featuring one, or occasionally several, retail tenants and the properties are usually unencumbered by virtually any responsibilities on the part of the landlord.

SEE IT ALL:   https://www.loopnet.com/learn/how-rising-interest-rates-are-impacting-nnn-retail-properties/1266212085/

As Andrew Bogardus, executive director in the net lease group at Cushman & Wakefield described it, “if there’s graffiti, or if the roof leaks, the tenant is not calling you. They’re taking care of it themselves, and you’re still getting your check every month.”

The ease of these assets makes them particularly appealing in low interest rate environments, when investors find it difficult to achieve meaningful yields through other stable investment options, such as government bonds.

But how does the market for NNN retail properties evolve when interest rates rise, and suddenly the 5% cap rate on a Dollar General in rural Louisiana is competing with a comparable return on a six-month treasury note? And what should investors look for when they’re surveying the vast and diverse array of NNN leased properties available in the market?

Bogardus walked LoopNet through both the basics of NNN retail properties, as well as their current state of play.

What to Look for in a NNN Leased Retail Property

According to Bogardus, smaller investors pursuing NNN retail properties are often seeking a 1031 exchange opportunity. They are perhaps disposing of a more labor-intensive property — “a single-family residence they rent out or a four-unit apartment building that they’ve been managing themselves” — and they are looking to acquire something where they can just “collect a check” each month.

SEE IT ALL:   https://www.loopnet.com/learn/how-rising-interest-rates-are-impacting-nnn-retail-properties/1266212085/

Or, as Bogardus termed it, “mailbox money.”

From banks to automotive chains, there is a NNN retail property for almost every kind of investor. Some of the most common types of retail tenants occupying these properties include bank branches, quick service (or fast food) restaurants, automotive supply stores, drug store chains, supermarkets and discount retailers.

Investors interested in acquiring one of these assets will want to take into account the general location of the property. Ideally, it should be in a high-visibility, high-traffic area surrounded by complimentary retailers. Big name, national retailers will generally garner the most interest from investors and be offered at the lowest cap rates; but even among those tenants there is a hierarchy. Bogardus said that trendier, more popular users — say a Chick-fil-A or In-N-Out Burger — will command more attention and higher prices than their less popular brethren (think Arby’s or Sonic Drive-In).

Leases on NNN retail properties are typically long-term — 10-20 years is fairly standard — with regular increases on an annual basis. However, investors will want to be mindful of how much term is left on the lease; the more term that remains, the more desirable the property usually is, Bogardus explained.

And then there’s the question of “Who signs the lease?” As Bogardus rhetorically queried. Bogardus said that investors need to understand if their prospective property is leased to a corporate owned store or a franchisee. Because of their high credit stature, corporate-owned locations are considered to be preferable.

Understanding the stability of the current tenant is key for NNN retail investors, because the one responsibility owners do have is leasing the building again should the existing tenant vacate the premises.

The Current Market for NNN Leased Retail Properties

As one might expect, the rise in interest rates — which has elevated the yield on any number of stable investment options — has profoundly affected the market for NNN lease properties.

“We’ve seen demand since about September [2022] fall off significantly,” Bogardus said. “It’s been a lot slower.”

As Bogardus explained, before the rise in interest rates, investors could expect to secure a loan for a NNN retail property in the range of 3%-3.5%. But in the current environment, the cost of debt has risen dramatically and quickly, and now investors are looking at interest rates between 5.75% and 6.25%.

“So, the cap rate needs to go up to get the same cash-on-cash return,” Bogardus explained.

But cap rates on NNN retail properties have remained surprisingly stubborn. Bogardus indicated that most institutional investors are now seeking cap rates between 6% and 6.5% on these properties, but sellers are still locked into the notion of achieving cap rates around 5%.

“We have a big disconnect,” Bogardus remarked.

That disconnect is representative of a scenario that has been playing out in real estate across asset classes and geographies, where sellers have been reluctant to capitulate to the current interest rate environment and accept the impact it has had on cap rates.

The effects of that divide are perhaps even more keenly felt in the NNN world, as most NNN buyers are less interested in long-term appreciation or potential future upside and more concerned with achieving a stable, consistent return. While NNN retail properties undoubtedly present fewer risks for owners than many other real estate assets, the biggest threat to returns — an unexpected vacancy — still exists; so, why take that risk when a similar return can be achieved through other means?

Nonetheless, Bogardus believes it’s just a matter of time before cap rates realign with interest rates. “Once the interest rates stabilize, then sellers can figure out where they need to be on the cap rate.”

Until then, Bogardus noted that buyers seeking a 1031 exchange are still very active in the NNN investment market. “They want to defer the taxes, and so they’re trying to buy a property with a long-term lease [and a] national tenant.”

He also added that properties occupied by those aforementioned, more popular and stable retailers are still trading more briskly. Whereas if it’s a retailer “that doesn’t have as good of a reputation, or maybe it’s a franchisee instead of a corporate-owned store, then the cap rates need to go up.”

DANIEL SCHMERGELMANAGING EDITOR

Daniel Schmergel is the Managing Editor of LoopNet. He has worked in the commercial real estate industry for more than 15 years, serving in a variety of marketing, content and communications roles for companies that include Newmark Knight Frank and Cushman & Wakefield. He has also previously held positions as an adjunct professor, music critic and editor-in-chief of an online arts and culture publication.

SEE IT ALL:   https://www.loopnet.com/learn/how-rising-interest-rates-are-impacting-nnn-retail-properties/1266212085/

FROM ME:  FOR OVER 20 YEARS, I HAVE WORKED EXTENSIVELY WITH OWNERS AND BUYERS IN LAND, COMMERCIAL AND INVESTMENT REAL ESTATE IN PHOENIX, TUCSON AND THROUGHOUT ARIZONA. Now is the time, if you are thinking of selling or purchasing your Land or Commercial Building in Phoenix, Scottsdale, Maricopa County, Pinal County, Arizona / Office  / Retail  / Industrial  / Multi-family /  please call me on my cell 520-975-5207 or e-mail me     walterunger@ccim.net. Investors and Owner / Users need to really know the market today before making a move. The market has a lot of moving parts. What is going on socio-economically, what is going on demographically, what is going on with location, with competing businesses, with public policy in general — all of these things affect the quality of selling or purchasing your Commercial Properties, Commercial Investment Properties and Commercial and large tracts of Residential Land  Therefore, you need a broker, a CCIM (Certified Commercial Investment Member) who is a recognized expert in the commercial and investment real estate industry and who understands your needs. I am marketing my listings on Costar, Loop-net,  CCIM,  CREXi, Catylist, and various other web sites.  I also sold  hundreds millions of dollars’ worth of  Investment Properties / Owner User Properties in Retail, Office Industrial, Multi-family and Land in Arizona and therefore I am working with  brokers, Investors and Developers. I am also a CCIM and through this origination ( www.ccim.com ) I have access to marketing not only in the United States, but also international

DISCOVER WHAT IS HAPPENING IN ARIZONA

History of Arizona from  900 BC – 2017 -Timeline.

   What is a CCIM.  In Business and in Life you don’t get what you deserve, you get what you Negotiate.

Are you ready to sell or purchase your Land or Commercial Building in Phoenix, Scottsdale, Maricopa County and Pinal County, Arizona, please call me?

contact me if you want the me to get you the value of your property.

Walter Unger CCIM – cell: 520-975-5207 – walterunger@ccim.net

Click here to find out what is a   CCIM:

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Are you ready to sell or purchase your Land or Commercial Building in Phoenix, Scottsdale, Maricopa County and Pinal County, Arizona, please call me?

Walter Unger CCIM

Associate Broker

West USA Commercial Division

7077 E MARILYN RD.

Suite 200, Building 4.

Scottsdale AZ, 85254

Phone: 480-948-5554

Cell: 520-975-5207

walterunger@ccim.net

History of Arizona from  900 BC – 2017 -Timeline.

WHY PHOENIX? AMAZING!!!  POPULATION – IN 1950 THERE WERE 331,700 PEOPLE LIVING IN PHOENIX – “NOW 5 MIL”. – “5TH. BIGGEST CITY IN USA”

PHOENIX TOPS US IN POPULATION GROWTH (MORE THAN LA, NYC) AND WHY THAT’S GOOD FOR THE ECONOMY, BUSINESS

History of Arizona from  900 BC – 2017 -Timeline.

WHY PHOENIX? AMAZING!!!  POPULATION IN 1950 – 350 K PEOPLE; “NOW 5 MIL”. – “5TH. BIGGEST CITY IN USA”

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  • DEMOGRAPHIC FACTS ABOUT MARICOPA COUNTY:

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Why Phoenix?  This is a very interesting article, you should read it, amazing, there were only 350 K people living in Phoenix in 1950

Timeline of Phoenix, Arizona history

Phoenix, Arizona

Facts of Arizona – year 1848 to 2013

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Feel free to contact Walter regarding any of these stories, the current market, distressed commercial real estate opportunities and needs, your property or your Investment Needs for Comercial Properties in Phoenix, Tucson, Arizona.

Walter Unger CCIM

Associate Broker

West USA Commercial Division

7077 E MARILYN RD.

Suite 200, Building 4.

Scottsdale AZ, 85254

Phone: 480-948-5554

Cell: 520-975-5207

walterunger@ccim.net

What is a CCIM.

FOR OVER 20 YEARS, I HAVE WORKED EXTENSIVELY WITH OWNERS AND BUYERS IN LAND, COMMERCIAL AND INVESTMENT REAL ESTATE IN PHOENIX, TUCSON AND THROUGHOUT ARIZONA. PLEASE LET ME KNOW HOW I CAN HELP YOU PLEASE CALL ME

CLICK HERE TO VIEW ALL MY LISTINGS. 

Also Call me if you need an estimated value of your Property.

Call me if you want to see a map with what is in the Construction Pipeline for Apartments.

Prefer cell: 520-975-5207,   or email me walterunger@ccim.net.       CLICK HERE TO VIEW ALL MY LISTINGS.    

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